Copyright © 2001 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health
LETTERS TO THE EDITOR |
RE: "ARE CHILDREN LIVING NEAR HIGH-VOLTAGE POWER LINES AT INCREASED RISK OF ACUTE LYMPHOBLASTIC LEUKEMIA?"
Engineering and Physical Hazards Branch Division of Applied
Science and Technology National Institute for Occupational Safety and
Health Cincinnati, OH 45226–1998
Department of Preventive Medicine School of Medicine University of
Southern California Los Angeles, CA 90033–9987
INTRODUCTION
A recent article by Kleinerman et al. (1) uses an "exposure index" similar to a
model for residential magnetic field exposures that we
developed (2). Magnetic fields predicted by our model were
associated with childhood leukemia (odds ratio = 2.00 in the
highest exposure group, 95 percent confidence interval: 1.03,
3.89, p for trend = 0.02) (3), while Kleinerman et al. were unable to
find an association (odds ratio for a continuous exposure
variable = 0.95, 95 percent confidence interval: 0.78, 1.16).
Potential explanations for these conflicting results are worth discussing because the carcinogenicity of electric and magnetic fields (EMF) is unresolved (4). This letter focuses on two possible reasons: 1) differences in the two methods for assessing residential magnetic field exposures; and 2) unmeasured EMF characteristics, which could be effect modifiers or confounders. Epidemiologic biases that might explain these discrepancies are discussed elsewhere (3, 5).
Compared with the diverse methods used in the EMF epidemiologic literature (5), these two studies have much in common: Both reanalyzed case-control datasets, but from different regions (6, 7). Both measured residential magnetic fields and collected wiring configuration data. The wiring data were inputs for both exposure models, whose mathematical forms were derived from the same physical principles (8, 9).
The most striking difference between the two studies is their exposure model. In the paper by Kleinerman et al., the foremost independent variable of the exposure index is the horizontal distance from the subject's residence to nearby power lines. Parameters representing the average currents in different kinds of transmission and primary distribution lines were "based on [their] experience and best judgment" (1, p. 513).
In our exposure model, current parameters were calibrated by regression against magnetic fields measured in a subset of residences. Our regression model used additional wiring variables, such as secondary distribution lines, number of transformers, service drops between lines and homes, etc., and the term for each line had 1/r or1/r2 dependence with distance in keeping with theory (8). Stepwise regressions were conducted for both electric utilities servicing our study region. Since the current parameters vary greatly with the location of the home in the distribution system, their calibration for nearby wire configurations improved the accuracy of our magnetic field model. Having separate models for the two utilities reflects their different methods of grounding and transformer wiring, which further increased the correlation with measurements from 0.35 to 0.43 (2).
In contrast, Kleinerman et al. used the same exposure formula for all homes and utilities in a study covering nine states. Although their paper did not report correlations with measurements, the simplicity of their index would seem to create greater exposure assessment errors, increasing chances for a false-negative result.
Another explanation for inconsistent findings from EMF epidemiology is unmeasured field characteristics that may be effect modifiers. To date, epidemiologic studies have mostly assessed exposures to one magnetic field property, the root-mean-squared vector magnitude with frequencies of alternating-current electricity (5). The field's frequency spectrum, polarization, spatial orientation, and high-frequency transients have never been measured in human health studies, even though these characteristics are reported to affect biologic processes in laboratory and/or theoretic studies (10). Since magnetic field characteristics vary widely between homes (11), these unmeasured exposure variables could be modifying the cancer risks associated with the root-mean-squared magnetic field magnitude, producing seemingly inconsistent results in different populations. Most recently, residential magnetic fields have been associated with contact currents (or "microshocks") from the electrical grounding system of a house, which could adversely affect a child's hemopoiesis (12). Until such potential confounders and effect modifiers in the EMF environment are measured, epidemiologic studies will have trouble clarifying EMF's unsatisfactory status as a "possible carcinogen" (4, 5).
- Kleinerman RA, Kaune WT, Hatch EE, et al. Are children living near high-voltage power lines at increased risk of acute lymphoblastic leukemia? Am J Epidemiol 2000;151:512–15.[Abstract]
- Bowman JD, Thomas DC, Liangzhong J, et al. Residential magnetic fields predicted from wiring configurations. I. Exposure model. Bioelectromagnetics 1999;20:399–413.[ISI][Medline]
- Thomas DC, Bowman JD, Liangzhong J, et al. Residential magnetic fields predicted from wiring configurations. II. Relationship to childhood leukemia. Bioelectromagnetics 1999;20:414–22.[ISI][Medline]
- National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Health effects from exposure to power-line frequency electric and magnetic fields. Research Triangle Park, NC: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, 1999. (NIH publication no. 99–4493).
- National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Working Group. Assessment of health effects from exposure to power-line frequency electric and magnetic fields. Research Triangle Park, NC: National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health, 1998:9–78, 167–89. (NIH publication no. 98–3981).
- Linet MS, Hatch EE, Kleinerman RA, et al. Residential
exposure to magnetic fields and acute lymphoblastic leukemia. N Engl J
Med 1997:337:1–7.
[Abstract/Free Full Text] - London SJ, Thomas DC, Bowman JD, et al. Exposure to residential electric and magnetic fields and risk of childhood leukemia. Am J Epidemiol 1991;134:923–37.[Abstract]
- Kaune WT, Zaffanella LE. Analysis of magnetic fields produced far from power lines. IEEE Trans Power Deliv 1994;2:149–70.
- Kaune WT, Stevens RG, Callahan NJ, et al. Residential magnetic and electric fields. Bioelectromagnetics 1987;8:315–35.[ISI][Medline]
- Bowman JD, Gailey PC, Gillette L, et al., eds. Proceedings of a Joint NIOSH/DOE Workshop on "EMF Exposure Assessment and Epidemiology: Hypotheses, Metrics, and Measurements". Report PB-2000–101086. Arlington, VA: National Technical Information Service, 1999.
- Bracken TD, Rankin RF, Senior RS, et al. Association of wire code configuration with long-term average 60-Hz magnetic field exposure. Report TR-111767. Palo Alto, CA: Electric Power Research Institute, 1998.
- Kavet R, Zaffanella LE, Daigle JP, et al. The possible role of contact current in cancer risk associated with residential magnetic fields. Bioelectromagnetics 2000;21:538–53.[ISI][Medline]
SIX OF THE AUTHORS REPLY
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics National Cancer
Institute Rockville, MD 20892
EM Factors Richland, WA 99352
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Boston University School
of Public Health Boston, MA 02118
INTRODUCTION
TOP
INTRODUCTION
REFERENCES
INTRODUCTION
REFERENCES
Bowman and Thomas (1) cite two concerns about a residential magnetic
field exposure index based on distance from homes to overhead
transmission and three-phase primary distribution power lines
that we used to evaluate childhood leukemia risk: 1) the simplicity
of our model, and 2) the possible importance of unmeasured magnetic
field characteristics. In our study conducted in nine Midwestern
and mid-Atlantic States, we found no evidence of a positive
association between leukemia risk and a magnetic field
exposure index based on distance (2). In a reanalysis of data from a study in
Los Angeles, Bowman et al. previously found a twofold risk
for childhood leukemia in a high exposure group defined by
a magnetic field exposure index based on distance (3) that was more complex than the one we used. Bowman
and Thomas suggest that the different epidemiologic results
in Los Angeles and the nine-state study might be explained
by the models used or differences in unmeasured magnetic
field characteristics between the two studies.
As Bowman and Thomas point out, the mathematical forms of both models were derived from the same general physical principles (4). Our exposure model was simpler than theirs because we chose to focus solely on transmission and distribution lines, the types of lines that generally emit the strongest magnetic fields (5). Along with these types of power lines, Bowman et al. also included secondary distribution lines and service drops in their model.
Bowman and Thomas used residential magnetic field measurements from their dataset to determine the values of several parameters incorporated in their model, that is, to essentially "tune" their model for the homes in their study. We did not follow this course, but instead utilized an "expert estimate" of the relative strengths of the magnetic fields produced by the average transmission and three-phase primary lines to select the key parameter in our model. We used this approach based on simplicity and experience with an earlier model developed by one of us (4). The earlier, more complex model did not predict magnetic fields for residences other than the original 43 homes in Seattle, Washington, for which the model was developed. Furthermore, it was not feasible for us to separately tune our model for the geographic regions within the nine-state area that were served by more than 100 different utility companies.
Unmeasured magnetic field characteristics may be effect modifiers, as Bowman and Thomas suggest, but any notable influence on the risk of childhood leukemia from any postulated effect modifier has yet to be demonstrated (6). We recently reanalyzed the nine-state study results on field measurements (7) by using a variety of magnetic field metrics, including rate of change, peak exposures, and measures of short-term variability (8). We oncluded (7, 8) that there is little evidence of an association between any measure of magnetic fields and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (8).
- Bowman JD, Thomas DC. Re:
"Are children living near high-voltage power lines at increased risk of
acute lymphoblastic leukemia?" (Letter). Am J Epidemiol 2000:153:615–16.
[Free Full Text] - Kleinerman RA, Kaune WT, Hatch EE, et al. Are children living near high-voltage power lines at increased risk of acute lymphoblastic leukemia? Am J Epidemiol 2000;151:512–15.[Abstract]
- Bowman JD, Thomas DC, Liangzhong J, et al. Residential magnetic fields predicted from wiring configurations. I. Exposure model. Bioelectromagnetics 1999;20:399–413.[ISI][Medline]
- Kaune WT, Stevens RG, Callahan NJ, et al. Residential magnetic and electric fields. Bioelectromagnetics 1987;8:315–35.[ISI][Medline]
- Zafanella LE. Survey of residential magnetic field sources. Vol. 1. Goals, results, and conclusions. Report TR-102759-VI. Palo Alto, CA: Electric Power Research Institute, 1993.
- Ahlbom A, Day N, Feychting M, et al. A pooled analysis of magnetic fields and childhood leukemia. Br J Cancer 2000;83:692–8.[ISI][Medline]
- Linet MS, Hatch EE, Kleinerman RA, et al. Residential
exposure to magnetic fields and acute lymphoblastic leukemia in
children. N Engl J Med 1997;337:1–7.
[Abstract/Free Full Text] - Auvinen A, Linet MS, Hatch EE, et al. Extremely
low-frequency magnetic fields and childhood acute lymphoblastic
leukemia: an exploratory analysis of alternative exposure metrics. Am J
Epidemiol 2000;152:20–31.
[Abstract/Free Full Text]